ASEAN maritime security is better served by Asian collective security 330.0
I think the Aquino Administration is 100% correct in visiting Japan and discussing the Spratlys after sponsoring the first ever ASEAN Maritime security meet on the West Philippine Sea in Manila. We ought to initiate discussions on ASEAN maritime security with South Korea as well which is in the same boat as Japan as far [...]
ASEAN integration needs political will from a sense of shared history 327.0
As an exercise in futurology, TrendNovation Southeast web magazine asked me in April 2011 to write a scenario template on the future of ASEAN integration fit to go into a Delphi process. The magazine is devoted to discussions of long-term technological, social and political trends in Southeast Asia. Linked here, the published article is entitled [...]
Manila and the Philippines will stay laggards also sprach McKinsey 298.0
Yesterday, McKinsey published Global cities of the future showing the 600 cities that will account for more than 60% of global GDP growth by 2025. From the article, I derived McKinsey’s current thinking behind the report – a disturbing though not surprising insight to me – that Manila will stay a laggard among its peer [...]
Social Innovation Spurred the Economic Miracle in Germany 288.0
Is it possible for one whole nation to engage in social innovation by negotiation among her constituencies and create an economic miracle? Yes. Through programmatic political parties, the postwar Germans did negotiate their social innovation called social market economy that spurred the postwar recovery called the Wirtschaftswunder. I will share that story taking off from [...]
Malaysia Wins with Palm Oil Sectoral Innovation Systems 263.0
The Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) is the only example I know of a continuing triumph from one of the emerging markets that resulted to global leadership via government-private sectoral innovation systems among ASEAN countries. Philippines back story. Sadly, for the Philippines, Malaysia’s continuing success in implementing growth in total area planted to oil palm [...]
Great Resets Knit Innovation and Economic Cycles Together 251.0
Richard Florida proposes a new take on economic cycles and waves of urbanization as related to technical progress. In his latest book (2010 Harper) at right, he echoes economists like Nouriel Roubini, and Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff in saying that regular crises are the normal and expected bane of capitalism. Unlike Karl Marx who [...]
Ozamiz Nurtures a Geographical Business Cluster 248.0
My hometown, Ozamiz City, is in the news again. But for not so good a reason. Over the years, she has gained a reputation for organized crime such that, like political violence ascribed by the military almost on a proforma basis to the NPA, any crime conveniently chalked up to the “Ozamiz Group,” like the [...]
Factor Mobilization and TFP In Hongkong and Singapore – 1 of 2
Hongkong and Singapore are latecomer nations, in fact city-states, who were similar in many ways but took different paths toward their present developed status. As cities, they are a special case of industry clusters; as nations, these cities can be special cases to study from for the Philippines. For this paper A tale of two [...]
Innovation Clusters from Flying Geese for ASEAN – 3 of 3
From Part II, the path to a richer, stronger and united ASEAN is long. The members are too economically diverse (see Table above) to unite quickly. Two strategies for convergence are possible. Firstly, a customs union on new, globally important products can link members up via trade for chosen products (see Post #20). Secondly, trade-oriented [...]
Innovation Clusters Through an ASEAN Customs Union – 2 of 3
The way to a richer, stronger and united ASEAN will be long. The member countries start from too far apart, economically, to unite fast. From the table, there are at least four distinct echelons based on relative incomes, GDP per capita, for the ten members.
Possibility of an ASEAN Regional Innovation Cluster – 1 of 3
A multi-polar world – this is a scenario the US National Intelligence Council sees for the world in the next 20 years. The report, Global Trends 2025 A Transformed World (see Post #6), says that China and India will be global players with the U.S. and EU then.
