Proof of Kondratieff Waves by Spectral Analysis Cuts Business Risk?

In 2010, researchers using spectral analysis published a paper that claims significant statistical proof that Kondratieff Waves exist and that its period is 52-53 years. This proof supports Nikolai Kondratieff’s predictions first presented in 1925 that Joseph Schumpeter also studied in his 1939 book Business Cycles. Further, this proof raises some rhetorical questions like:   [...]

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Economics and Crises – an Epic History of Self-Healing 287.0

Major crises in the real world have buffeted theoretical economics as social science through the two centuries of its existence. In the manner of the self-healing free markets that it describes, it went through major early adjustments from the classical like the marginalist and Keynesian adaptations to the multiple branches today in order to adapt [...]

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Business Model Innovation Triggers Growth and Locks Value 281.0

I have the kernel of a growth framework that can work for firms. It looks like a general framework for emerging markets development that I have been working on in SYNTHESiST for the past two years. I realized this while preparing for a brief talk on innovation and strategy with a leading multinational firm. This [...]

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Emerging Markets Innovation Systems Must Target Diffusion 268.0

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Incentives or Industrial Policy for Economic Growth? 240.0

William Easterly criticized his fellow economists in international financial institutions for failing poor countries in their elusive quest for growth in his ‘hard-nosed’ (Solow) and ‘original’ (The Economist) 2001 book. In the Preface to this edition (2002), he writes “the World Bank encourages gadflies like me to find another job.” He had to move on [...]

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Technology-Driven Evolution of the Concept of Product 117.0

Over the years, the concept of Product has evolved and widened from the traditional, push USP as innovators try to find unserved markets or create new ones. In classic iteration and interaction, these concept changes have driven invention. In turn, they have also been driven by invention or enabled by it.

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SYNTHESiST Publishes at Technorati BlogCritics 116.6

Technorati’s BlogCritics invited SYNTHESiST to contribute to their online magazine, BC. I accepted their invitation and sent my contribution which was published today: “Innovative Applications as Paul Romer’s Endogenous Technological Change Approaches Its 20th Anniversary”.

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Romer Space Innovation Finds Product Models for Viral Marketing 115.0

As an innovation practitioner in a latecomer country, I am very interested in applications and diffusion of Paul Romer’s basic research findings. I think his 1990 paper works well as a model for knowledge-embedded as well as for viral products, both of which create high value addition from Total Factor Productivity(TFP).

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Technical Change and Economic Theory – A great book find in September 113.0

The past week was busy and eventful. Forgive the hiatus in my posts. Firstly, I won two game-nights with my poker friends after four weeks of no contests. Great! Secondly, I finally acquired my copy of a second-hand book, Technical Change and Economic Theory also called IFIAS 6. Better!!

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We Need Change to Compete 112.0

The World Economic Form (WEF) 2009 Global Competitiveness Report shows how badly the Philippines is performing absolutely and relative to its neighbors. The Philippines dropped 16 places to #87 out of 133 countries from #71 in 2008. I have always read the Report with reservations based on Paul Krugman’s comment that competitiveness does not apply [...]

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Philippine Innovation Mobile Phone Banking in Microfinance 100.0

For this 100th post, I am pleased to report another innovation area that I discovered the Philippines to be a global leader: mobile phone banking in microfinance. The four other areas of leadership I have reported elsewhere in SYNTHESiST are: renewable geothermal energy, PNG carrageenan from seaweeds, and SALT (Sloping Agricultural Land Technology). Innovation is [...]

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Musings as SYNTHESiST Turns Six Months Today 98.0

I feel like a daddy looking after my newborn, first child. First published this year on the same day as EDSA 1, February 25, SYNTHESiST has 98 posts as of today (that is roughly one post every two days). Also, I have commented on 39 books and journals or one every five days. In the [...]

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