Proof of Kondratieff Waves by Spectral Analysis Cuts Business Risk?

In 2010, researchers using spectral analysis published a paper that claims significant statistical proof that Kondratieff Waves exist and that its period is 52-53 years. This proof supports Nikolai Kondratieff’s predictions first presented in 1925 that Joseph Schumpeter also studied in his 1939 book Business Cycles. Further, this proof raises some rhetorical questions like:   [...]

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Economics and Crises – an Epic History of Self-Healing 287.0

Major crises in the real world have buffeted theoretical economics as social science through the two centuries of its existence. In the manner of the self-healing free markets that it describes, it went through major early adjustments from the classical like the marginalist and Keynesian adaptations to the multiple branches today in order to adapt [...]

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Business Model Innovation Triggers Growth and Locks Value 281.0

I have the kernel of a growth framework that can work for firms. It looks like a general framework for emerging markets development that I have been working on in SYNTHESiST for the past two years. I realized this while preparing for a brief talk on innovation and strategy with a leading multinational firm. This [...]

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Emerging Markets Innovation Systems Must Target Diffusion 268.0

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Apple Growth Derives from Planned Product Obsolescence 222.0

As shown again by the IPhone 4, Apple’s growth strategy is just planned product obsolescence with a twist. In the olden days of three-to-five year product development cycles, planned product obsolescence, and therefore consumer upgrades, was driven by annual style changes. In the much shorter product cycles of recent years, Apple is the champion of [...]

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Philippines As Emerging Market 157.0

Let us stop flagellating ourselves with negative news From 2005, Goldman Sachs identified the Philippines as one of eleven countries “that could potentially have a BRIC-like impact in rivalling the G7.” More recently, in September 2009, the FTSE Global Equity Index Series classified the Philippines as one of seventeen secondary emerging countries with regards to [...]

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The Nature of Technology 150.0

W. Brian Arthur digs deep for an evolutionary theory of technology Professor W. Brian Arthur’s 2009 book takes time to read and appreciate. Like any great book, its insights run in layers. Its front jacket compares his effort for technology to Thomas Kuhn’s for science (in The Structure of Scientific Revolutionn). Professor Kuhn first suggested [...]

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Technology-Driven Evolution of the Concept of Product 117.0

Over the years, the concept of Product has evolved and widened from the traditional, push USP as innovators try to find unserved markets or create new ones. In classic iteration and interaction, these concept changes have driven invention. In turn, they have also been driven by invention or enabled by it.

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SYNTHESiST Publishes at Technorati BlogCritics 116.6

Technorati’s BlogCritics invited SYNTHESiST to contribute to their online magazine, BC. I accepted their invitation and sent my contribution which was published today: “Innovative Applications as Paul Romer’s Endogenous Technological Change Approaches Its 20th Anniversary”.

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Romer Space Innovation Finds Product Models for Viral Marketing 115.0

As an innovation practitioner in a latecomer country, I am very interested in applications and diffusion of Paul Romer’s basic research findings. I think his 1990 paper works well as a model for knowledge-embedded as well as for viral products, both of which create high value addition from Total Factor Productivity(TFP).

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We Need Change to Compete 112.0

The World Economic Form (WEF) 2009 Global Competitiveness Report shows how badly the Philippines is performing absolutely and relative to its neighbors. The Philippines dropped 16 places to #87 out of 133 countries from #71 in 2008. I have always read the Report with reservations based on Paul Krugman’s comment that competitiveness does not apply [...]

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Innovation in Microfinance as an Ayala Blue Ocean – 1 of 2

I think the Ayala Group sees great opportunity in the microfinance market. They can put together a strong strategy – I will attempt here to cobble up one from a grab bag of MBA buzzwords, hahah!- and have a source of strong growth in financial services in the coming years. That is if Ayala can [...]

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