Manila and the Philippines will stay laggards also sprach McKinsey 298.0

Yesterday, McKinsey published Global cities of the future showing the 600 cities that will account for more than 60% of global GDP growth by 2025. From the article, I derived McKinsey’s current thinking behind the report – a disturbing though not surprising insight to me – that Manila will stay a laggard among its peer [...]

Proof of Kondratieff Waves by Spectral Analysis Cuts Business Risk?

In 2010, researchers using spectral analysis published a paper that claims significant statistical proof that Kondratieff Waves exist and that its period is 52-53 years. This proof supports Nikolai Kondratieff’s predictions first presented in 1925 that Joseph Schumpeter also studied in his 1939 book Business Cycles. Further, this proof raises some rhetorical questions like:   [...]

Economics and Crises – an Epic History of Self-Healing 287.0

Major crises in the real world have buffeted theoretical economics as social science through the two centuries of its existence. In the manner of the self-healing free markets that it describes, it went through major early adjustments from the classical like the marginalist and Keynesian adaptations to the multiple branches today in order to adapt [...]

Social Innovation to Minimize Election-Related Violence 283.0

At a symposium hosted by the Ateneo School of Government, Leon Trotsky and Max Weber hovered like ghosts in the throng. Their apparitions seem to glower mischievously with each repeated paraphrase of the statement: “The State has the monopoly in the use of ‘legal’ violence” [in its territory]. Speakers and participants seemed to take that [...]

Green Innovation Opportunities from Biophysical Finiteness 282.0

From 1996, when his book Beyond Growth was published, Herman Daly was considered the dean of “ecological economics.” I like two insights from the book that I take as “jolt[s] to conventional thinking”: finitude that I prefer to call finiteness and use as a more optimistic starting point for opportunities from innovation, and a clear [...]

Business Model Innovation Triggers Growth and Locks Value 281.0

I have the kernel of a growth framework that can work for firms. It looks like a general framework for emerging markets development that I have been working on in SYNTHESiST for the past two years. I realized this while preparing for a brief talk on innovation and strategy with a leading multinational firm. This [...]

General Purpose Technologies as Enabler to Emerging Markets 279.0

Engaging in basic science research is sexy but not practical as the basis of development for the Philippines. Note that science, technology and even innovation have different goals and means and affect different constituencies and incentives or penalties, as policy areas. I believe it is in the mis-appreciation of these differences as they affect policy [...]

The Philippines Needs Embedded Patriotism to Catch-up 278.0

I picked up my Christmas reading only this week; they got caught up in the Christmas rush getting to New York. I bought the three books to fill up gaps in the development framework for emerging markets that I am trying to cobble up in the context of today’s fast moving technology environment. Briefly, from [...]

Emerging Markets Innovation Systems Must Target Diffusion 268.0

Competing Economic Growth Models for Innovation Systems 265.0

Economic growth, especially those that add net value-added or productivity, is of special interest to emerging markets as they provide a general improvement in living standards for all citizens. This economic growth is the foundation on which the special case of catch-up, that I wrote about in the preceding post, rests. Catch-up happens when governments, [...]

Catch-up Innovation Systems for Emerging Markets 264.0

This is a great book for someone looking at innovation from a theoretical, evolutionary economics standpoint – the papers are good focusing devices for guiding a practical strategy for a country like the Philippines that must be finally defined by local context. The book looks at innovation mainly from a social science point of view [...]

GLOBELICS for Inclusive Development and Innovation for the Poor 262.0

The 8th GLOBELICS jumped right into its first order of business in the plenary and in Track 1 of the parallel sessions, “Innovation for the Poor [and Inclusive Development].” This after doing the right first thing in the memorial to Christopher Freeman. The highlight in the Innovation for the Poor track was the special panel [...]

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